Wars and Winter Storms

“Maybe this represents the calm before the storm,” Trump said to the Press following a dinner meeting with his military commanders. Afterwards; a few weeks before Christmas CNN newscasters re-visit the president Calm Before the Storm”, statement, attempting to analyze and speculate a whirlwind dramatic event.  Obviously, North Korea nuclear ambitions were considered as a calm before the storm; as of yet; only missile tests made by Kim Jong Un, thusly; the U.S has not launched a preemptive strike against the regime;  and of course there was the government shutdown looming and a possible dramatic flare-up between Democratic-Repubublican parties was anticipated

Henceforth; upon perusing an October article on the website of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),  entitled: “U.S Winter Outlook: NOAA forecasters predict cooler, wetter North and warmer, drier South.”

“NOAA climate prediction of the U.S emerging for the second year in a row as the biggest wildcard in how this year’s winter will shape up. La Nina has a 55-65 percent chance of developing before winter sets in.”

Perchance, President Trump “calm before the storm” statement had a multitudinous sentiment.  Some predicted the uprising in Iran, presently,  Iranians are protesting and calling for a regime change. Literally,  southern states felt an early winter storm, where Atlanta, GA, and Houston, TX received an unusual snowfall in December before Northeast states known for regular wintery snow season but endured a bomb cyclone of frigid temperatures. The tolerable December temperature in New York can be classified as a”Calm before the storm.”  Recent days, mother nature delivered Northeast a wintery cyclone riding on the threshold of El Nino a climatic pattern of irregular, frequent, complex episodes of climatic changes affecting the equatorial Pacific.

In 2018, a possibility of the USA engaging in a conflict with North Korea disturbingly looms throughout the global atmosphere.  Is there an ‘El Nino’ forecaster in the house that can forecast the time and season of that apocalyptic event. Prevent it delay it, an aftermath of a nuclear conflict is unimaginable,  May the winter Olympics in South Korea be the diplomacy to offset a nuclear war.  “O’ Say Can You See” Americans are living in times of substantial peace, blessed tidings even in the “Calm before the Storm?” Will 2018 be the year forecasted for order and chaos to battle a regime change?  There were scholars and Middle East Clerics who predicted Iran uprise to overthrow the Iranian regime.  “Calm before the storm simply put; rejoice in peace, don’t take it for granted because you have comfortably lived in the blessed assurance of seasonal accommodations for extreme weather conditions. Be thankful for the moment when all things are going well.  Iran is weathering tumultuous times in a season of chaos.

Jordan Ambassador Predicts Iran Coup de tat.

For the past couple of years, Jordanian leaders have not only condemned the politics of Supreme Leader Khamenei, and Iranian clerics, but has forecasted Iranians uprising and the overthrow of the Iranian regime.

NCRI reports several quotes made by former Jordanian Ambassador, Minister Bassam al-Amoush to the State of Iran. The Jordanian Ambassador accused Supreme Leader Khamenei as meddling in regional state of affairs.

“He also added: “the Iranian people are civilized and Muslim, and Iranians want their rulers to care for them. Dr. al-Amoush said, “Iran clerical regime spend money on regional wars that do not have any benefit for the people.” Al-moush condemned the divisive policies of the Iranian regime which resulted in the breakdown of the Islamic countries. He said: “I take issue with the divisive policies that Khamenei follows as the Supreme Leader of Iran.”

Even though Jordan and U.S, diplomatic relations go back as far as 1949, and the U.S view Jordan as a peaceful ally who advocates peace in the region. The Jordanian leader has vented strong sentiments against Israel who is a principal ally of U.S. In a 2014 speech, Bassam al-Amoush compared the Jews to Hitler.

July 2017, al-Amoush said “the fall of Iran regime is near. He labels Iran as a ‘terrorist’ occupier in the region. The former Diplomat said, “We must cooperate with the United States and other Western countries.” Bassam al-Amoush blames, “missiles fired at Saudi Arabia on Iran.”

As the protests spread throughout Iran, al-Amoush words came to pass, mission accomplished for the Iranian rebellious uprise against the Iran regime, the protestors are taking destiny in their own hands and demanding change in the rulership, and tired of Iran clerics focusing on regional conditions.

 

Iranians Frustration with Globalization

There’s a growing perception among Iranians that President Hassan Rouhani position on globalization; trade, and fostering regional and international relations does not have a direct benefit to the Iranian people.  In October, President Rouhani had bilateral talks with Turkey President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. In November Russia President Vladimir Putin held trilateral talks in Sochi with Iran President Rouhani and Turkey President Erdogan to dialogue over political groups influencing the conflict in Syria.

President Rouhani and Iran leaders are a major voice in the politics of Israel-Palestine conflicts, Rouhani has voiced his disapproval of United States President Donald Trump declaration that the U.S will move its Embassy to Jerusalem as a physical acknowledgment that Jerusalem is officially the Capitol of Israel.  Rhouhani said Jerusalem is the Capitol of Palestine. Meantime; economic and government corruption festers in the social fabric of Iran; and demonstrators protests that Rouhani should concentrate on whats best for Iran, they want the regime to create economic policies that are conducive to the economic-political environment that enriches the lives of Iranians.The people don’t see how President Rouhani international affairs; his position on trade, and fostering regional, and international relations benefit the Iranian people.

Iranian protests resonate a frustrated message that the government is not orchestrating policies that progress the lives of Iranians. Iranians feel the Iran government lacks a national focus for  Iranians

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The Uprising and Iran-US Relations

Fatalities have occurred from Iranians recent and ongoing protests. Iran government denies the allegations of the two deaths that happen on Saturday, December 30, 2017. Protestors are voicing their concern on issues that range from economic, regional politics and western foreign policies.

The Politics of NCRI and U.S Relations

“PARLIAMENT IN EXILE: The NCRI is an inclusive and pluralistic parliament-in-exile that has more than 500 members, including representatives of ethnic and religious minorities such as the Kurds, Baluchis, Armenians, Jews and Zoroastrians, representing a broad spectrum of political tendencies in Iran. The NCRI aims to establish a secular democratic republic in Iran, based on the separation of religion and state. Women comprise 50 percent of the Council’s members. There are five organizations represented in the NCRI, including the People’s Mojahedin Organization of Iran (PMOI/MEK), the largest and most popular resistance group in Iran.”

 

Turkey Bilateral Meetings with Africa

2017 Middle East Highlights: Turkey-Iran Meeting

“Turkey and Iran improve relations after failed coupe.” 

NCRI: Foreign Affairs Committee

“The National Council of Resistance of Iran, (NCRI’s) Foreign Affairs Committee Chair: Iranian People Want Regime”

 

 

 

 

2015 USA-IRAN Deal

Obama White House Archives: “Watch the President’s remarks on the impact of U.S. leadership in Iran:”

“On January 16, 2016, the International Atomic Energy Agency verified that Iran has completed the necessary steps under the Iran deal that will ensure Iran’s nuclear program is and remains exclusively peaceful.”

“Here’s how we got to this point. Since October, Iran has:”

• Shipped 25,000 pounds of enriched uranium out of the country
• Dismantled and removed two-thirds of its centrifuges
• Removed the calandria from its heavy water reactor and filled it with concrete
• Provided unprecedented access to its nuclear facilities and supply chain

“Because Iran has completed these steps, the U.S. and the international community can begin the next phase under the JCPOA, which means the U.S. will begin lifting its nuclear-related sanctions on Iran. However, a number of U.S. sanctions authorities and designations will continue to remain in place.”